Market Commentary

Market Commentary: Supply Chain Issues Negatively Affected GDP and Housing in Q2, June

Supply chain issues continued to constrain economic growth and housing. U.S. GDP grew 6.5% in the second quarter, falling 2.0% short of expectations. Strong consumer demand created a surge in purchases. Production didn’t match demand, and the corresponding drop in inventories robbed more t …

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Market Commentary: Economy Reacts to Recent Upward Trends in COVID Cases, Unemployment Claims and Stocks

The more contagious Delta variant has contributed to a 172% increase in U.S. COVID-19 cases over the last two weeks. The spike is raising concerns some social distancing measures may be reenacted. Initial jobless claims are increasing. Last week claims jumped above 400,000 after staying bel …

Market Commentary: U.S. Stocks Struggle as Inflation Jumps; China’s Economy Continues to Rebound

Two big economic releases in the U.S. and a series of economic data in China highlighted a challenging week for U.S. stocks. Inflation surged 0.9% and has now increased 5.4% over the last year (Figure 1). The U.S. Consumer Price Index increased more than expected, led by large spikes in use …

Market Commentary: Second Quarter Key Events To Know; Future Growth Expectations Are Mixed

The U.S. economy continued to show signs of a mismatch between demand and supply. Nearly 3 million workers have been unemployed for more than a year; yet, there are 9 million available jobs in the U.S. (Figure 1). Matching those open positions with available workers remains key to a sustain …

Market Commentary: Restaurants, Hotels Lead Jump in Hiring; Stock Market Continues Surge

U.S. payrolls jumped 850,000 in June after two months of mediocre hiring (Figure 1). With these gains, the private sector has now reinstated 73% of the jobs lost during the pandemic. Restaurants and hotels led the hiring, as the leisure and hospitality industry added 343,000 new positions.

Market Commentary: Home sales dip, wages rise as June jobs report looms

The challenge of higher prices is starting to weigh on home sales. New and existing home sales both dipped last month while the median price of existing homes sold topped $350,000 for the first time. Vacation home sales jumped 57.2% over the last year.

Market Commentary: Higher-Than-Expected Inflation Rates Cause Consumer Spending to Slow; Fed Adjusts Forecasts For Future Hikes

The Federal Reserve raised its inflation forecast 1.0% for this year to 3.4% and indicated inflation will stay near its target of 2.0% in coming years. Based on a more rapid recovery and higher-than-expected inflation in recent months, Fed officials estimate the Fed will raise interest rate …

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Market Commentary

Market Commentary: Supply Chain Issues Negatively Affected GDP and Housing in Q2, June

Market Commentary: Economy Reacts to Recent Upward Trends in COVID Cases, Unemployment Claims and Stocks

Market Commentary: U.S. Stocks Struggle as Inflation Jumps; China’s Economy Continues to Rebound

Market Commentary: Second Quarter Key Events To Know; Future Growth Expectations Are Mixed

Market Commentary: Restaurants, Hotels Lead Jump in Hiring; Stock Market Continues Surge

Market Commentary: Home sales dip, wages rise as June jobs report looms

Market Commentary: Higher-Than-Expected Inflation Rates Cause Consumer Spending to Slow; Fed Adjusts Forecasts For Future Hikes

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